Full Time MBA Batch of 2009. NYU Stern School of Business. This is my tryst with an MBA.


Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts

Sunday, February 8, 2009

Greed is Good?

Prof. Roy C. Smith, former managing partner at Goldman Sachs and my professor at NYU talks about bonuses at Wall Street firms. We discussed this topic in class and his rationale and points were worthy. Or was it that they seemed right because I was on a different side of the line? The professor said that the headline was not his idea and he didn't like it as well. He also said that he got close to a hundred hate mails for the article which appeared in the weekend edition.

Produced in verbatim, the article written by Prof. Smith in the Wall Street Journal
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Greed is Good
1973 was a terrible year on Wall Street. An unexpected crisis in the Middle East led to a quadrupling of oil prices and a serious global economic recession. The president was in serious trouble with Watergate. The S&P 500 index dropped 50% (after 23 years of rising markets), and much of Wall Street fell deeply into the red. There were no profits, and therefore no bonuses.

I was a 35-year-old, nonpartner investment banker then and was horrified to learn that my annual take-home pay would be limited to my small salary, which accounted for about a quarter of my previous year's income. Fortunately the partners decided to pay a small bonus out of their capital that year to help employees like me get by. The next year was no better. Several colleagues with good prospects left the firm and the industry for good. We learned that strong pay-for-performance compensation incentives could cut both ways.

Many wondered if that was still the case last week, when New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli released an estimate that the "securities industry" paid its New York City employees bonuses of $18 billion in 2008, leading to a public outcry. Lost in the denunciations were the powerful benefits of the bonus system, which helped make the U.S. the global leader in financial services for decades. Bonuses are an important and necessary part of the fast-moving, high-pressure industry, and its employees flourish with strong performance incentives.

There is also a fundamental misunderstanding of how bonuses are paid that is further inflaming public opinion. The system has become more complex than most people know, and involves forms of bonuses that are not entirely discretionary.

The anger at Wall Street only grew at the news that Merrill Lynch, after reporting $15 billion of losses, had rushed to pay $4 billion in bonuses on the eve of its merger with Bank of America. Because Merrill Lynch and Bank of America were receiving substantial government funds to keep them afloat, the subject became part of the public business. The idea that the banks had paid out taxpayers' funds in undeserved bonuses to employees, together with a leaked report of John Thain's spending $1 million to redecorate his office, understandably provoked a blast of public outrage against Wall Street. The issue was so hot that President Barack Obama interrupted his duties to call the bonuses "shameful" and the "height of irresponsibility." Then, on Wednesday, he announced a new set of rules for those seeking "exceptional" assistance from the Troubled Asset Relief Program in the future that would limit cash compensation to $500,000 and restrict severance pay and frills, perks and boondoggles.

In the excitement some of the facts got mixed up. Mr. DiNapoli's estimate included many firms that were not involved with the bailout, and only a few that were. Merrill's actions were approved by its board early in December and consented to by Bank of America. But the basic point is that, despite the dreadful year that Wall Street experienced in 2008, some questionable bonuses were paid to already well-off employees, and that set off the outrage.

Many Americans believe that any bonuses for top executives paid by rescued banks would constitute "excess compensation," a phrase used by Mr. Obama. But no Wall Street CEO taking federal money received a bonus in 2008, and the same was true for most of their senior colleagues. Not only did those responsible receive no bonuses, the value of the stock in their companies paid to them as part of prior-year bonuses dropped by 70% or more, leaving them, collectively, with billions of dollars of unrealized losses.

That's pay for performance, isn't it?

Bonus FiguresSource:Wall Street Journal
Wall Street" has always been the quintessential, if ill-defined, symbol of American capitalism. In reality, Wall Street today includes many large banks, investment groups and other institutions, some not even located in the U.S. It has become a euphemism for the global capital markets industry -- one in which the combined market value of all stocks and bonds outstanding in the world topped $140 trillion at the end of 2007. Well less than half of the value of this combined market value is represented by American securities, but American banks lead the world in its origination and distribution. Wall Street is one of America's great export industries.

The market thrives on locating new opportunities, providing innovation and a willingness to take risks. It is also, regrettably, subject to what the economist John Maynard Keynes called "animal spirits," the psychological factors that make markets irrational when going up or down. For example, America has enjoyed a bonus it didn't deserve in its free-wheeling participation in the housing market, before it became a bubble. Despite great efforts by regulators to manage systemic risk, there have been market failures. The causes of the current market failure, which is the real object of the public anger, go well beyond the Wall Street compensation system -- but compensation has been one of them.

The capital-markets industry operates in a very sophisticated and competitive environment, one that responds best to strong performance incentives. People who flourish in this environment are those who want to be paid and advanced based on their individual and their team's performance, and are willing to take the risk that they might be displaced by someone better or that mistakes or downturns may cause them to be laid off or their firms to fail. Indeed, since 1970, 28 major banks or investment banks have failed or been taken up into mergers, and thousands have come and gone into the industry without making much money. Those that have survived the changing fortunes of the industry have done very well -- so well, in fact, that they appear to have become symbolic of greedy and reckless behavior.

The Wall Street compensation system has evolved from the 1970s, when most of the firms were private partnerships, owned by partners who paid out a designated share of the firm's profits to nonpartner employees while dividing up the rest for themselves. The nonpartners had to earn their keep every year, but the partners' percentage ownerships in the firms were also reset every year or two. On the whole, everyone's performance was continuously evaluated and rewarded or penalized. The system provided great incentives to create profits, but also, because the partners' own money was involved, to avoid great risk.

The industry became much more competitive when commercial banks were allowed into it. The competition tended to commoditize the basic fee businesses, and drove firms more deeply into trading. As improving technologies created great arrays of new instruments to be traded, the partnerships went public to gain access to larger funding sources, and to spread out the risks of the business. As they did so, each firm tried to maintain its partnership "culture" and compensation system as best it could, but it was difficult to do so.

In time there was significant erosion of the simple principles of the partnership days. Compensation for top managers followed the trend into excess set by other public companies. Competition for talent made recruitment and retention more difficult and thus tilted negotiating power further in favor of stars. Henry Paulson, when he was CEO of Goldman Sachs, once remarked that Wall Street was like other businesses, where 80% of the profits were provided by 20% of the people, but the 20% changed a lot from year to year and market to market. You had to pay everyone well because you never knew what next year would bring, and because there was always someone trying to poach your best trained people, whom you didn't want to lose even if they were not superstars. Consequently, bonuses in general became more automatic and less tied to superior performance. Compensation became the industry's largest expense, accounting for about 50% of net revenues. Warren Buffett, when he was an investor in Salomon Brothers in the late 1980s, once noted that he wasn't sure why anyone wanted to be an investor in a business where management took out half the revenues before shareholders got anything. But he recently invested $5 billion in Goldman Sachs, so he must have gotten over the problem.

As firms became part of large, conglomerate financial institutions, the sense of being a part of a special cohort of similarly acculturated colleagues was lost, and the performance of shares and options in giant multi-line holding companies rarely correlated with an individual's idea of his own performance over time. Nevertheless, the system as a whole worked reasonably well for years in providing rewards for success and penalties for failures, and still works even in difficult markets such as this one.

As firms became part of large, conglomerate financial institutions, the sense of being a part of a special cohort of similarly acculturated colleagues was lost, and the performance of shares and options in giant multi-line holding companies rarely correlated with an individual's idea of his own performance over time. Nevertheless, the system as a whole worked reasonably well for years in providing rewards for success and penalties for failures, and still works even in difficult markets such as this one.

At junior levels, bonuses tend to be based on how well the individual is seen to be developing. As employees progress, their compensation is based less on individual performance and more on their role as a manager or team leader. For all professional employees the annual bonus represents a very large amount of the person's take-home pay. At the middle levels, bonuses are set after firm-wide, interdepartmental negotiation sessions that attempt to allocate the firm's compensation pool based on a combination of performance and potential.

Roy C. Smith, a professor of finance at New York University's Stern School of Business, is a former partner of Goldman Sachs.

Sunday, February 1, 2009

The Incorrigible Optimist

What’s the definition of optimism?
An Investment Banker ironing five shirts on a Sunday evening.


In the times that we live in, it is an unfortunate joke that is perched on the pedestal of possibility. Given the weird and incessant layoffs that we see day in and day out, it is not difficult to assume that the above joke is not far from reality. Every other day, I get the unfortunate news of someone I know who was asked to leave.

Mostly, I would add for little to no fault of theirs. All those who are crying hoarse for the blood of investment bankers need to realize that the Associate and to a large extent the Vice Presidents have had nothing to do with the current issue other than to be the menial labour in the chain.

Unfortunately, the bleeding just doesn't stop. What that means is that good and deserving candidates like us [ take a hike if you think otherwise :P ] don't get an entry into the door to show our wares.

This is likely to go on for long, though we would like to hope and wish that this was not the case. Aah well, the problems of an incorrigible optimist I guess. Another thought of hope I guess.

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Bismarck Bailout

CitiPicture Source: Bloomberg.com
The US Government has finally saved the Bismarck from sinking by stepping in to secure a huge load of its troubled assets.
Bailout Plan
- $306 billion of troubled mortgages and toxic assets guaranteed by the U.S. government under a federal plan.
- $20 billion cash infusion from the Treasury, adding to $25 billion it received last month under the TARP.
- Citi to swallow first $29 billion of losses on the $306 billion pool
- After that, government covers 90% of losses, Citigroup covers other 10%
- CEO Vikram Pandit keeps his job

Price for Citi
- Government to get $27 billion of preferred shares with an 8% dividend
- Warrants to buy 254 million Citigroup shares @ $10.61 each

“The Achilles heel with Citi is their exposure to emerging markets and what’s going to happen when emerging markets turn down, as they’re doing now.”

Here is the entire article on Bloomberg.

PS: Seems like the government does work the weekends and late into the night.

Insurance Indeed

Vikram PanditPicture Source: Bloomberg.com archives
Here is an interesting email that I received over the weekend that gives you an idea of the run-on-the-bank that Citibank is currently facing. While there are few rumors as to whether Citi will survive to see Monday morning, it is now almost certain that there is no news that will emerge before the start of markets. If there was any news, it would have emerged [or leaked] by this evening which would have given us a good sense of where Citi is currently headed. That has not happened and hence, I believe that we will see Citi opening to a low this coming week when markets do open on Monday.

Here is the email that I [and other Citibank customers received]



Dear Max,

Good news! Citibank is participating in the FDIC's Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program. Through December 31, 2009, all of your non-interest and interest bearing checking deposit account balances are fully guaranteed by the FDIC for the entire amount in your account. *

And as a reminder, in October the FDIC increased the amount of insurance on eligible savings accounts -- such as savings, market rate, money market accounts, club and holiday accounts, and certificates of deposits -- from $100,000 to $250,000 through December 31, 2009.**
...


I have no doubts that my money is safe, given its meagre amounts. Nevertheless, I have withdrawn substantial amounts considering the fact that I may not be able to withdraw money immediately in case the bank does go under. Better to be safe than sorry they say.

While I do believe that Citigroup cannot be let to go down, purely because of the effect that it would have on the already bleeding financial markets, I am waiting to see what sort of a plan will be cooked up by the government and its emissaries.

Friday, November 21, 2008

Citigroup, the Bismarck?

Roy Smith, my professor and ex-chairperson and partner of Goldman Sachs talks about the run down in the share price of Citigroup.
"We used to say that Citigroup was like the Bismarck. It could take bullets forever without sinking. But ultimately, the Bismarck sank."

At $26-billion, it is now worth about the same as Toronto-Dominion Bank and $11-billion less than Royal Bank of Canada.

One thing is for sure, Citigroup CANNOT fail. I just shudder to even think of the thought of where the markets are headed if it thinks that Citi could potentially fail.

Read an interesting article here which quotes the above italicized information. Could the markets go more downward? I shake my head in disbelief.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Jobs in Asia

And the bad news seems to continue.

An article on hiring reductions in Asia.

Posted in verbatim from an article on Bloomberg.

Standard Chartered Postpones Hiring in Hong Kong

By Chia-Peck Wong

Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Standard Chartered Plc, the third- biggest U.K. bank, pushed back its hiring plans in Hong Kong after the city slipped into an economic recession.

``We constantly review our hiring needs, but the market's momentum has changed so we have postponed hiring in some cases,'' Gabriel Kwan, a Hong Kong-based spokeswoman, said by phone today.

Banks and brokerages worldwide have announced more than 166,000 job cuts since the subprime-mortgage market's collapse last year. Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, said earlier this week that it will trim 52,000 jobs, while HSBC Holdings Plc said it eliminated 500 jobs in Asia, 90 percent of them in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong, the biggest contributor to Standard Chartered's pretax income in the first half with a 25 percent share, has entered its first recession since the SARS epidemic in 2003. Gross domestic product shrank a seasonally adjusted 0.5 percent in the third quarter from the previous three months, the government said last week.

Standard Chartered employs 5,500 in Hong Kong. The London- based bank has been reviewing its business and ``will try to redeploy staff to minimize the impact,'' Kwan said.

The HSBC cuts amount to about 2 percent of its total workforce in the city.

Other Banks

Hang Seng Bank Ltd., Hong Kong's second-biggest by assets, has no plans to trim its workforce of 8,210 in the city, spokeswoman Irene Chua said. The bank, a unit of HSBC, hasn't imposed a hiring freeze, redeployed workers or reduced business travel, she said, declining to elaborate further.

Bank of East Asia Ltd., the city's third-biggest by assets, said it has no plans to reduce headcount. The bank, which last cut workers in 2003, today said it will continue to monitor the situation.

The lender employs more than 4,200 workers in Hong Kong. Its shares have risen 7.3 percent since Oct. 27, when it said it would book an impairment loss of HK$3.5 billion ($452 million) this year after selling its entire portfolio of collateralized debt obligations.

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Ltd. is offering voluntary retirement to employees aged 50 or who have worked for 30 years to cut costs, the Standard reported today, without saying where it got the information.

``We are constantly reviewing and adjusting our human resources policy in a prudent manner according to the changes in market environment and business operation,'' BOC Hong Kong spokeswoman Angel Yip said by phone today. She declined to elaborate on specific measures or comment on the Standard report.

Cutting the LEH pie

LEH
He cuts the LEH pie. Well, he is doing his job and is getting paid for it. We are talking about Bryan Marsal, Lehman Brothers' Restructuring Officer. Nevertheless, his demands are not exactly reasonable. This sounds like a classic case of make hay while the sun shines.

An article on how the Lehman Restructuring Officer wants very high incentive fees. This is what I call highway robbery. Creditors and management should not allow it. I guess the verdict for this question really lies in the hands of the honorable bankruptcy judge in the court of South District of New York.

Produced in verbatim from Bloomberg.com below

Lehman Restructuring Officer Marsal Wants 25% Incentive Fees
By Linda Sandler and Christopher Scinta

Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.'s restructuring officer, Bryan Marsal, asked a court to pay his firm incentive fees as high as 25 percent on top of the hourly rates he's charging to liquidate the bank.

Marsal's company, Alvarez & Marsal, has 125 employees helping Lehman sell assets and unwind trades. Marsal previously asked for $2.5 million upfront and hourly fees of as high as $850 for himself and other top executives. Under a proposal filed yesterday, A&M would start earning its bonus after recovering $15 billion for unsecured creditors of Lehman, which listed $613 billion in debt.

"Especially in a case like this, where the firm is also getting hourly rates, you would not want to have triggers for the incentive payments that are too easy to meet," said Stephen Lubben, who teaches at Seton Hall University School of Law in Newark, New Jersey. "The triggers do seem to be low, and at the very least A&M should offer some explanation for why this should be so."

The restructuring firm's request is part of an estimated $1.4 billion in fees for lawyers, accountants and other professionals that will make Lehman's bankruptcy the most expensive ever, surpassing the record set by Enron Corp. in 2004 according to calculations by Lynn LoPucki, who teaches bankruptcy law at Harvard University and the University of California at Los Angeles.

Fee Enhancements
Restructuring experts often demand bonus payments. Perella Weinberg Partners LP in 2007 had to forgo a success fee it wanted for advising shareholders in the bankruptcy of energy company Calpine Corp., which objected to paying the bonus. A judge ruled the same year that law firm Cadwalader Wickersham & Taft, which represented Northwest Airlines Corp., wasn't entitled to $3.5 million in ``fee enhancements'' on top of its $502 average hourly rate.

Also in 2007, Alix Partners gave up a $5 million success fee it had sought on top of $25.6 million in professional charges while winding down futures-trader Refco Inc.

"Bonuses are normally only granted after the fact to crisis managers who produce exceptional, outstanding, and unexpected results," said Martin Bienenstock, a Dewey & LeBoeuf lawyer who represents Lehman creditors including Walt Disney Co.

"Crisis manager employees do not need to be guaranteed bonuses in advance because they expect short-term work and have no reason to threaten to leave (just the opposite, in fact)," Bienenstock said in an e-mail.

Lehman's lead law firm, Weil Gotshal & Manges, may earn $209 million in fees from the Lehman case, LoPucki estimated. Lehman would pay Weil, led by bankruptcy partner Harvey Miller, $650 to $950 an hour for partners and counsel, and $155 to $295 for paraprofessionals.

A&M Rates
A&M has said it will charge from $175 to $300 an hour for analysts or administrators and $550 to $850 for managing directors. It will bill Lehman for fees and expenses every month or more often if A&M prefers, according to court documents.

Lehman, once the fourth-largest investment bank, has said it foundered because of deteriorating subprime and structured investments. It filed the biggest U.S. bankruptcy Sept. 15 with mostly unsecured debts.

Rebecca Baker, a spokeswoman for A&M, didn't immediately return phone calls seeking comment today.

The case is In re Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., 08-13555, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan).